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What is a Good Test Set Size?

Introduction Teaching basic data science, machine learning, and statistics is great due to the questions. Students ask brilliant questions, as they see what holes are present in your presentation and scaffolding. The students are not yet conditioned to ask only what you feel is easy to answer or present. They […]

Bounding Excess Generalization Error

I am sharing a new free video where I work through a great common argument that bounds expected excess generalization error as a ratio of model complexity (in rows) over training set size (again in rows), independent of problem dimension. (link) For more of my notes on support vector machines […]

“Statistics to English Translation”

The core of our “statistics to English translation” series is Nina Zumel’s sequence of articles: “I don’t think that means what you think it means;” Statistics to English Translation, Part 1: Accuracy Measures Statistics to English Translation, Part 2a: ’Significant’ Doesn’t Always Mean ’Important’ Statistics to English Translation, Part 2b: […]

Free vtreat Tutorial Videos

I would like to re-share links to our free vtreat data preparation system introduction videos, which show you what sort of machine learning problems vtreat can help you with. Python vtreat introduction video (PyData LA 2019), slides here. R vtreat introduction video (Why R? Foundation). The idea is: instead of […]

Cross-Methods are a Leak/Variance Trade-Off

We have a new Win Vector data science article to share: Cross-Methods are a Leak/Variance Trade-Off John Mount (Win Vector LLC), Nina Zumel (Win Vector LLC) March 10, 2020 We work some exciting examples of when cross-methods (cross validation, and also cross-frames) work, and when they do not work. Abstract […]